India facing third Covid wave, to hit peak in February, say scientists
New Delhi: Amid rising cases of new variant Omicron, the third wave of Covid-19 has set in India from mid-December and it is likely to hit its peak in February next year. This has come to light in some studies conducted by Indian scientists.
A yet-to-be peer reviewed study, led by a team of researchers from the Indian Institutes of Technology (IIT), Kanpur, used a statistical methodology based on the fitting of a mixture of Gaussian distributions, based on an algorithm for clustering to estimate the parameters.
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The team also used the data of countries that are already facing the third wave of Covid-19 and modelled their daily cases data for predicting the impact and timeline for the third Covid-19 wave in India.
According to Professor M Vidyasagar of IIT Hyderabad and Maninda Agrawal of IIT Kanpur, the daily Covid caseload is expected to rise as Omicron begins to displace Delta as the dominant variant.
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Meanwhile, India registered 6,317 fresh Covid cases and 318 deaths in the last 24 hours. Omicron tally has reached 213, said the Union Ministry of Health and Family Welfare on Wednesday. The death toll has climbed to 4,78,325.
On the other hand, scientists also claimed that the infection rate will be milder than seen in the second wave.
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-PTC News with agency inputs
