'Bye Bye BJP' trends on social media after exit polls; What went wrong for BJP in Haryana?
Congress, which performed far more effectively in the Lok Sabha election, is projected to form the next government in Haryana, ending the BJP's 10-year reign.
Haryana Exit Polls 2024: The Congress, which performed far more effectively in the Lok Sabha election, is projected to form the next government in Haryana, ending the BJP's 10-year reign.
An aggregate of seven exit polls predicts that the Congress will win 55 of Haryana's 90 seats, well ahead of the midway point of 45.
However, exit polls often give inaccurate outcomes.
What went wrong for BJP?
Following the Haryana Exit Polls 2024, 'Bye Bye BJP' started trending on social media.
- MATRIZE Exit Poll Predictions – INC: 55-62, BJP: 18-24, INLD: 3-6, JJP: 0-3, OTHERS: 2-5
- PEOPLES PULSE Exit Poll Predictions – INC: 49-61, BJP:20-32, INLD: 2-3, JJP: 0-1, OTHERS: 3-5
- DHRUVE RESEARCH Exit Poll Predictions– INC: 50-64, BJP: 22-32, INLD: 0, JJP: 0, OTHERS: 2-8
- DAINIK BHASKAR Exit Poll Predictions– INC: 44-54, BJP: 15-29, INLD: 0, JJP: 0, OTHERS: 4-10
- PMARQ Exit Poll Predictions– INC: 51-61, BJP: 27-35, INLD:3-6, JJP: 0, OTHERS: 0
- JIST-TIF RESEARCH Exit Poll Predictions– INC: 45-53, BJP: 29-37, INLD: 0-2, JJP: 0, OTHERS: 4-6
The BJP faced many obstacles before Haryana Assembly elections. Anti-incumbency, internal rebellions, and factionalism affected party's campaign.
- A huge setback occurred when eight senior leaders were ousted and chose to run as independents.
- The most important crisis was the split with Dushyant Chautala's Jannayak Janta Party (JJP), which led to the collapse of Manohar Lal Khattar's government. The breakaway from JJP in March resulted in a loss of Jat voter support. The Jat community, which accounts for over 30% of Haryana's population, likely split its votes between Dushyant Chautala's JJP, Abhay Chautala's INLD, and the Congress. Exit polls show that Congress gained the most from this division.
- In response to these issues, Congress used anti-incumbency emotions during the campaign. They hoped to gain the support of the wrestling community by fielding Julana's Olympian Vinesh Phogat. Exit polls currently indicate that Congress' strategy was successful.
- The BJP also faced disappointment from state wrestlers and farmers.
- Unemployment and ignorance over the Agnipath Scheme exacerbated their situation.
Exit polls show that the BJP is likely to miss out on a hat-trick in Haryana due to these issues. Compared to Congress' strategic gains, the party's efforts to recoup lost ground appear insufficient.